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Dayboro's own weather station since 2004
BOM shows Redcliffe. This shows Dayboro.
Live data from Lyndhurst Hill. A 9-day local forecast. 10 email reports. $3.95/month.
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Dayboro Model, not BOM's postcode averageMembers see 9 days. You're seeing 3.
Unlock the full forecast →What the rain % means
It is the chance our own gauge here in Dayboro records at least 1 mm of rain that day, midnight to midnight. That is enough to wet the garden and put a trickle in the tank. A light spit that barely wets the gauge does not count.
On its own the Dayboro Model is too keen on rain, so every morning we check it against the last 12 months of our gauge readings and pull the number back to what really fell. The aim is simple: of all the days we say 40%, about 4 in 10 should be wet.
It is not how much rain, and not how long it rains for. A 70% day can still bring only a few millimetres. Days further out are less certain, so day 6 is rougher than tomorrow.
Is it actually more accurate?
Accuracy data calculated daily from verified observations.
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