As I look ahead to the weather patterns for Dayboro in 2024, let’s explore what the seasons might have in store, blending traditional meteorological insights with a touch of astronomical observation for a unique perspective.
This outlook for 2024 combines a scientific approach with a hint of celestial influence, providing a unique and engaging perspective on Dayboro’s weather. While enjoyable to consider, for daily weather decisions and safety-related purposes, always refer to the latest forecasts from professional meteorological services.
I have been collecting weather data here in Dayboro on a 2.5-second interval since 2004, and analyse that data regularly and provide some accurate and inaccurate weather predictions. Some say I am pretty spot on, thanks for that.
Being a facts person at heart, I like science and all the debate about climate change, which so happens is cyclic temperatures rise and fall so does plant food commonly known as CO2. Recently I dived a bit further into the long-term forecasting, adding another layer on top of it thanks to the introduction of AI. My brain and attention span is not able to do it without the development of AI. This is the Inigo Jones method, I by no means understand it yet, and still learning about it. However, it is not far from the method I have been using which is using Solar Cycles and historical data, and then basing an assumption of weather prediction on that.
For the localised weather data and forecasts e.g. 10 days out I use existing computer models and gadgets, these forecasts you have seen here since 2004. It is something I build back in the day, I wished I still could do that. The Inigo Jones is just another complexity to that, and for the expert on all things Inigo Jones, you have to visit David Burton on this website.
Just remember a forecast is exactly that it is something that MIGHT happen it does not mean it WILL.
Let’s dive in.
Let's set the base line.
Summer (December – February).
I got the data from December and January, February is predicted, you can find that in the Almanac section. I did it this way to train the model if you like and see if there is some truth in it. I did not give it the data from this summer, only up to autumn. I say it is pretty good using a hybrid of science, GSM and Inigo Jones stuff.
To be clear I by no means claim I know the Inigo Jones method, there is way more to it than what I ever will understand and David Burton most likely forgotten more than I will ever remember. I am just an old dude with a keyboard…. :-).
That said mistakes will be made, in particular spelling mistakes. But I am among great as I was told that is normal when using AI… who knew… I am AI LOL. Some folks.. you gotta laugh… :-).
The summer months are forecasted to be characteristically hot and humid but with an added twist of sporadic, heavy rainfall and potential thunderstorms.
The lunar phases during this period, particularly the full and new moons, traditionally indicate a likelihood of increased rainfall.
Moreover, the positioning of Jupiter may hint at more intense and unpredictable weather events, adding a dramatic flair to the usual summer weather.
- Prediction: Anticipate hot and humid conditions with sporadic heavy rainfall and possible thunderstorms.
- Average Temperature High/Low: Summer temperatures often reach highs of 30°C to 35°C, with lows around 20°C to 25°C.
- Average Rainfall: This is the wettest season, with average monthly rainfall potentially exceeding 150-200 mm.
- Wind: Summer winds can be stronger, especially during storm events.
- Dominant Wind Direction: Predominantly northeasterly, though summer storms can bring variable wind directions.
- Rationale: Summer in Dayboro is typically hot and wet. The lunar phases during this period, especially full and new moons, are traditionally associated with increased rainfall. Planetary positions, particularly of Jupiter, might indicate more intense weather events.
- Astronomical Observations: Increased solar activity could exacerbate the usual summer heat.
- Fire Risk: Initially low due to wet conditions, but increased vegetation growth could pose a risk later.
- Flood Risk: Elevated, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall and thunderstorms.
Autumn 2024 (March - May)
Autumn 2024 in Dayboro is expected to be characterized by slightly warmer temperatures, above-average rainfall, and the potential for a significant weather event in mid-April. Residents should stay informed and be prepared for variable weather conditions.
- Prediction: Likely to experience mild temperatures with occasional rainfall, potentially less than the average.
- Average Temperature High/Low: Autumn 2024 is expected to be slightly warmer than the average due to increased solar activity. Dayboro residents can anticipate average high temperatures to be around 27°C in March, gradually decreasing to around 23°C by May. The average low temperatures might start at around 18°C in March and drop to around 13°C by May.
- Average Rainfall: Based on the alignment of planets and their gravitational influence on the Earth’s atmosphere, the rainfall in Dayboro during autumn 2024 is expected to be slightly above average. March might see around 160-210 mm of rainfall, with a gradual decrease to 60-110 mm by May. However, there could be a period of intense rainfall around mid-April due to a significant planetary alignment. per month.
- Wind: The wind patterns are expected to be influenced by the positions of Jupiter and Saturn, leading to stronger easterly winds with average speeds ranging from 12 to 22 km/h.
- Dominant Wind Direction: Typically southeasterly to easterly winds are common in autumn.
- Rationale: Autumn is generally a transition period with milder weather. The positions of Saturn and Venus during this season might suggest a calming of extreme weather patterns.
- Astronomical Observations:
- The positions of planets and solar activity can influence weather patterns. Increased solar activity in autumn 2024 may contribute to slightly warmer temperatures.
- The moon phases could also play a role in tidal behavior, which might indirectly affect weather conditions along coastal areas, although Dayboro is not directly on the coast.
- Fire Risk:
- The fire risk in Dayboro during autumn 2024 is expected to be moderate to high. Warmer temperatures and lower humidity levels, especially towards the end of the season, can dry out vegetation, increasing the risk of bushfires.
- Residents should stay vigilant, adhere to fire bans or restrictions, and have a bushfire survival plan in place.
- Flood Risk:
- The flood risk is expected to be elevated in autumn 2024 due to above-average rainfall predictions. The intense rainfall event anticipated around mid-April could lead to flash floods or riverine flooding.
- It’s important for residents to stay informed about weather warnings, avoid flood-prone areas during heavy rainfall, and have an emergency plan in case of flooding.
Winter 2024 (June - August)
Winter 2024 in Dayboro is expected to be characterized by cooler temperatures, lower rainfall, and reduced fire and flood risks. Clear skies and lower humidity levels can make for pleasant winter days, but residents should be prepared for occasional cold spells and windy conditions
The lunar cycles during this season are not expected to significantly impact the weather, leading to a relatively steady and predictable winter.
- Prediction: Expect cooler temperatures, with a lower likelihood of extreme cold events.
- Average Temperature High/Low: Winter temperatures in Dayboro are expected to be cooler, with average highs ranging from 20°C to 22°C and lows between 7°C and 10°C. Occasional cold fronts could bring cooler spells, particularly in July.
- Average Rainfall: Rainfall is generally lower in winter, with averages between 30-60 mm per month. However, occasional weather systems can bring heavier rain, particularly in June.
- Wind: Winds are likely to be moderate, with average speeds between 10-20 km/h. Westerly winds are more common in winter, which can sometimes be gusty and bring cooler air from the interior.
- Dominant Wind Direction: Southerly to southeasterly winds are more prevalent in winter.
- Rationale: Winter in Dayboro is usually mild. Planetary influences, particularly the relative positions of Earth and Mars, might suggest a milder winter without extreme cold snaps.
- Astronomical Observations: Lunar cycles during this period might not significantly impact weather patterns, leading to a relatively stable winter.
- Fire Risk: The fire risk in winter is generally lower than in warmer months. However, dry conditions and occasional strong winds can still pose a fire risk, especially in areas with dry vegetation.
- Flood Risk: The flood risk is usually lower in winter due to reduced rainfall. However, heavy rain events can still lead to localized flooding, particularly in low-lying areas.
Spring 2024 (September - November)
In Dayboro, spring could bring increased warmth, aligning with Queensland’s typical dry season that extends from May to October. This period, especially towards the latter part of spring, might experience drier conditions, elevating the risk of bushfires.
The nearing peak of the sunspot cycle suggests heightened solar activity, possibly contributing to these warmer and drier conditions.
Residents should remain vigilant for fire hazards, particularly in areas of dense vegetation, and adhere to local fire safety guidelines.
- Prediction: Expect cooler temperatures, with a lower likelihood of extreme cold events.
- Average Temperature High/Low: Historically, temperatures in spring might range from highs of around 25°C to 30°C and lows of 15°C to 20°C.
- Average Rainfall: Spring rainfall can be variable, but on average, you might expect moderate rainfall, possibly around 50-100 mm per month.
- Wind: Winds are typically moderate during spring.
- Dominant Wind Direction: Generally, easterly to northeasterly winds prevail in spring.
- Rationale: Winter in Dayboro is usually mild. Planetary influences, particularly the relative positions of Earth and Mars, might suggest a milder winter without extreme cold snaps.
- Astronomical Observations: Lunar cycles during this period might not significantly impact weather patterns, leading to a relatively stable winter.
- Fire Risk: Elevated, especially as vegetation becomes drier and more flammable towards the end of the season.
- Flood Risk: Lower, due to the expected drier conditions.
Just a closing thought/statement if you like, thanks to the introduction of AI I have been able to do this. As some might know my brain is not what it used to be and it is getting harder to do what I normally do. It is what it is. AI is just helping me out, BUT it is not a fix for all things. If you do not understand climates, cycles and weather patterns then AI is not going to help you. It will just create rubbish.
Because of my interest in the climate and about 30-plus years of exposure to all this, I like to think I have a reasonable grasp on it. For the last 10 years or so I have been looking to fix that “itch” that nagging feeling something is off, something is not quite right. This has led me on several paths and into several rabbit holes.
I would like to publish all that here, BUT because I share this site with the Dayboro Lions, and this site is purely to inform Dayboro Residents I have decided NOT to write about that on this website. I have another one for that that is called the “tradeshack.au“, I am a bit more open about things there when I feel like it.
What I like to make you aware of is that I generally validate information against three data points from independent sources. Sure we all look at the same info but the interpretation is different.
What recently started to show is that people like Martin Armstrong who is looking at cycles from an economical viewpoint are also quietly ringing the alarm bell. Things are not looking too good for all of us here on planet Earth, and it has nothing to do with CO2. It is just the phase in the cycle we are in.
