The Humid Embrace of January 2025 in Dayboro
January 2025 in Dayboro promises to deliver the typical Queensland summer experience: sweltering heat, high humidity, and the ever-present potential for dramatic afternoon storms.
Early mornings will start warm, with minimum temperatures lingering between 22°C and 25°C, creating the kind of air that seems to wrap around you like a sticky blanket. As the day progresses, temperatures will climb from 32°C to 35°C, with a few scorcher days flirting with the 40°C mark. It’s a month when sunscreen, wide-brimmed hats, and ice-cold drinks become helpful and essential.
Rainfall will define the month’s occasional downpours, providing a refreshing, albeit brief, reprieve from the heat. Thunderstorms are likely to roll in during the afternoons, their arrival often preceded by dark clouds and the unmistakable scent of rain. The storms may be heavy and dramatic but are expected to be relatively short-lived, typical of the wet season. Rainfall totals for the month are predicted to range between 150mm and 200mm, keeping Dayboro’s landscape thriving and ensuring the water tanks remain full.
January 2025 is set to have a high relative humidity, making even shaded areas feel steamy and amplifying the perceived heat. Mornings will feel especially muggy, with relative humidity levels peaking at 85-95%. Afternoons will bring a slight dip in moisture, with levels dropping to 60-70%—not exactly dry, but enough to feel like a marginal improvement. The oppressive stickiness will likely drive us locals to seek refuge near fans, air conditioners, or the cool waters of nearby creeks and rivers.
Forecast Notes for January 2025 in Dayboro
Temperature Trends:
- Minimum temperatures will range between 22°C and 25°C, contributing to warm and sticky mornings.
- Maximum temperatures are expected to fluctuate between 32°C and 35°C, with occasional spikes nearing 40°C during heatwave conditions.
Rainfall and Storms:
- Rainfall totals are predicted to be between 150mm and 200mm for the month, with most rain occurring in short but heavy afternoon thunderstorms.
- The storms may include localized heavy downpours, strong wind gusts, and occasional lightning, characteristic of the wet season.
Humidity Levels:
- Humidity will be high, peaking at around 85-95% in the mornings and tapering off to 60-70% in the afternoons. This will make the heat feel more intense, particularly in the early parts of the day.
Wind Patterns:
- Light to moderate easterly winds will dominate throughout the month, averaging speeds of 10-15 km/h but gusting up to 40 km/h during storm activity.
Weather Risks:
- Bushfire Risk: While rainfall is expected, early heatwaves could temporarily dry vegetation, posing a fire risk in early January.
- Flood Risk: Due to the cumulative rainfall and intense thunderstorms, localized flooding is possible, especially in low-lying areas. This will be more tricky if the rain fall keeps continuing in December (I am writing this on 2/12/2024)
General Observations:
- Classic Queensland summer conditions are expected, with hot, humid days and unpredictable afternoon rain. Locals should prepare for outdoor heat and occasional indoor refuge during storms.
- The month will showcase lush greenery and spectacular post-storm sunsets, making Dayboro a visually stunning place despite the weather challenges.
Astronomy Influences on January 2025 Weather in Dayboro
For January 2025, several critical influences could hypothetically impact the weather in Dayboro:
Planetary Alignments:
- Mars and Jupiter Conjunction (Mid-January): This alignment could hypothetically coincide with an increase in energetic atmospheric activity, potentially manifesting as more frequent thunderstorms or intensifying storm systems in the region.
- Mercury in Capricorn: During this period, there is traditionally a focus on stabilization, which could align with more predictable weather patterns in the latter half of the month after early volatility.
Lunar Phases:
- The Full Moon on January 14 is traditionally associated with higher tides and potentially increased rainfall due to enhanced gravitational pull. This might amplify the risk of localized flooding, particularly in low-lying areas near the North Pine River.
- The New Moon on January 29 could signal a temporary decrease in storm activity as atmospheric conditions reset.
Solar Activity:
- January 2025 falls within Solar Cycle 25’s active phase. Enhanced sunspot activity during this period could contribute to subtle variations in Earth’s ionosphere, influencing weather patterns like localized heating and wind intensities.
Retrogrades and Atmospheric Impacts:
- Venus Retrograde (concluding January 7): Astrologically, Venus retrogrades are linked to shifts in moisture and precipitation trends. As this retrograde ends, wetter conditions could dominate, aligning with expected thunderstorms in mid to late January.
Saturn and Uranus Interplay:
- Saturn’s steady influence in Pisces could balance out chaotic tendencies, while Uranus in Taurus, representing disruption, might introduce unpredictable swings in local weather, such as sudden storms or heatwaves.
| Date | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | POP% | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-01 | 22 | 32 | 20 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-02 | 23 | 33 | 30 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-03 | 24 | 34 | 40 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-04 | 22 | 35 | 50 | Thunderstorm expected |
| 2025-01-05 | 23 | 32 | 20 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-06 | 24 | 33 | 30 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-07 | 22 | 34 | 40 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-08 | 23 | 35 | 50 | Thunderstorm expected |
| 2025-01-09 | 24 | 32 | 20 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-10 | 22 | 33 | 30 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-11 | 23 | 34 | 40 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-12 | 24 | 35 | 50 | Thunderstorm expected |
| 2025-01-13 | 22 | 32 | 20 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-14 | 23 | 33 | 30 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-15 | 24 | 34 | 40 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-16 | 22 | 35 | 50 | Thunderstorm expected |
| 2025-01-17 | 23 | 32 | 20 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-18 | 24 | 33 | 30 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-19 | 22 | 34 | 40 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-20 | 23 | 35 | 50 | Thunderstorm expected |
| 2025-01-21 | 24 | 32 | 20 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-22 | 22 | 33 | 30 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-23 | 23 | 34 | 40 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-24 | 24 | 35 | 50 | Thunderstorm expected |
| 2025-01-25 | 22 | 32 | 20 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-26 | 23 | 33 | 30 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-27 | 24 | 34 | 40 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-28 | 22 | 35 | 50 | Thunderstorm expected |
| 2025-01-29 | 23 | 32 | 20 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-30 | 24 | 33 | 30 | Hot and humid |
| 2025-01-31 | 22 | 34 | 40 | Hot and humid |
Historical Weather Patterns for January in Dayboro
Temperature:
- January Average Highs: January is historically one of the hottest months in Dayboro. Daytime highs typically range from 30°C to 35°C, with occasional peaks nearing 40°C during heat waves.
- January Average Lows: Nights are warm and humid, with minimum temperatures between 20°C and 24°C.
Rainfall and Wet Season:
- Rainfall Totals: January falls within Dayboro’s wet season, with average rainfall around 150mm to 200mm, although this can vary significantly depending on monsoonal influences or tropical systems.
- Rainfall Patterns: Afternoon thunderstorms are common, often short but intense, and contribute most of the monthly rainfall.
Humidity:
- Humidity levels are generally high throughout the month, ranging from 70% to 95%, making it feel much warmer than the actual air temperature.
Storms and Extreme Weather:
- Thunderstorms: These are frequent, particularly in the afternoons. They can bring heavy rain, strong winds, and occasionally hail.
- Cyclonic Activity: While Dayboro is not directly on the coast, it can experience residual effects from cyclones, such as increased rainfall and strong winds, depending on tropical systems in the Coral Sea.
Wind:
- Light to moderate winds are typical, usually from the east or northeast. Storms may bring stronger gusts, occasionally exceeding 40 km/h.
Flooding and Local Impacts:
- Low-lying areas, such as those near the North Pine River, are prone to localized flooding during heavy rainfall, mainly when storms occur quickly.
Significant Historical Weather Events in January
- January 1974: One of the most significant floods on record in Southeast Queensland occurred due to widespread heavy rainfall from a tropical low. Although Dayboro was not at the epicentre, the North Pine River and surrounding areas were significantly impacted.
- January 2011: Heavy rainfall from the remnants of Cyclone Tasha contributed to severe flooding across Southeast Queensland, including localized impacts near Dayboro.
Areas in Dayboro and Surrounding Regions Subject to Flooding
Based on the historical weather patterns, the Regional Floodplain Database (RFD) for the Lower Pine River catchment, and the forecasted rainfall for January 2025, the following areas are identified as having a high risk of flooding during periods of heavy rain:
North Pine River Catchment:
- Areas downstream of Lake Samsonvale (North Pine Dam), including Young’s Crossing, are particularly vulnerable due to spillover from the dam during high rainfall events.
- Localized flooding may occur in low-lying zones along the riverbanks.
South Pine River Catchment:
- Flooding is likely near Drapers Crossing, where historical records show significant flood levels during major rain events.
- Urban areas such as Samford Village are at risk due to water backing up from smaller tributaries and heavy localized rainfall.
Cedar Creek and Sideling Creek:
- These smaller waterways contribute to the South Pine and North Pine rivers and are prone to flash flooding, especially near their confluences.
Murrumba Downs and Petrie Areas:
- These locations are prone to flooding due to their proximity to the merging points of the South and North Pine Rivers.
- River height levels at these points have historically reached major flood classifications during extreme events like 1974 and 2011.
Dayboro Localized Flood Risk:
- Low-lying areas near smaller creeks and tributaries in Dayboro may experience flash flooding. Prolonged heavy rain can lead to overbank flows, impacting properties and rural roads.
Catchment Vulnerabilities:
- Areas along floodplains, particularly those downstream or near bridges and crossings (e.g., Cash’s Crossing and John Bray Park), are historically sensitive to significant flood events.
Summary of Risk Factors
- Heavy Rainfall Potential: Forecasts of 150mm–200mm rainfall in January 2025, combined with high humidity and thunderstorms, heighten the risk.
- Localized Flooding: Rapid accumulation of water during storms can overwhelm drainage systems.
- Historical Data: Previous flood peaks (e.g., 7.44m at Drapers Crossing in 1974) show the severity possible in these regions.
This risk assessment highlights the importance of flood preparedness, especially for residents in floodplain zones and near creeks or riverbanks.
Weather Comparison - 1/2025
| Date | Predicted | Actual | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MinTemp | MaxTemp | POP | LowTemp | HighTemp | Rain | |
| 2025-01-01 | 22 | 32 | 20 | 19.1 | 29.7 | 20.1 |
| 2025-01-02 | 23 | 33 | 30 | 17.8 | 26.4 | 3.0 |
| 2025-01-03 | 24 | 34 | 40 | 17.4 | 28 | 15.3 |
| 2025-01-04 | 22 | 35 | 50 | 17.5 | 28.7 | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 23 | 32 | 20 | 15.1 | 28.8 | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-06 | 24 | 33 | 30 | 15.6 | 29 | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-07 | 22 | 34 | 40 | 15.1 | 30.8 | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-08 | 23 | 35 | 50 | 18.5 | 30.3 | 4.3 |
| 2025-01-09 | 24 | 32 | 20 | 16.9 | 29.8 | 8.6 |
| 2025-01-10 | 22 | 33 | 30 | 19 | 29.4 | 0.5 |
| 2025-01-11 | 23 | 34 | 40 | 19.8 | 24.9 | 14.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 24 | 35 | 50 | 20 | 28 | 3.6 |
| 2025-01-13 | 22 | 32 | 20 | 20.7 | 30.2 | 5.1 |
| 2025-01-14 | 23 | 33 | 30 | 19.5 | 32.2 | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-15 | 24 | 34 | 40 | 20 | 34.3 | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-16 | 22 | 35 | 50 | 20.5 | 37.5 | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-17 | 23 | 32 | 20 | 15.6 | 31.7 | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-18 | 24 | 33 | 30 | 19.5 | 29.9 | 6.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 22 | 34 | 40 | 17.6 | 29.3 | 11.2 |
| 2025-01-20 | 23 | 35 | 50 | 16.7 | 29.6 | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-21 | 24 | 32 | 20 | 17.6 | 33.4 | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-22 | 22 | 33 | 30 | 20.6 | 37.1 | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-23 | 23 | 34 | 40 | 22.4 | 32.3 | 0.2 |
| 2025-01-24 | 24 | 35 | 50 | 22 | 36.1 | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-25 | 22 | 32 | 20 | 20.8 | 29.9 | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 23 | 33 | 30 | 19.6 | 31.1 | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-27 | 24 | 34 | 40 | 20.7 | 29.8 | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-28 | 22 | 35 | 50 | 17.7 | 32.6 | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-29 | 23 | 32 | 20 | 17.7 | 31.3 | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-30 | 24 | 33 | 30 | 19 | 31.4 | 0.0 |
| 2025-01-31 | 22 | 34 | 40 | 20.8 | 31.3 | 0.0 |
