2026 ENSO Update: El Niño is likely developing. Most climate models now forecast tropical Pacific warming right through spring and summer. That usually means below average rainfall, above average temperatures, and higher fire risk across eastern Australia. The
Inigo Jones cycle (Bruckner dry phase) backs the drier read. Plan for drier conditions and higher fire danger.
Last Year's Numbers (October 2025, Dayboro)
No forecast here, just what the Dayboro station actually recorded in October 2025. Handy as a reality check on what this month usually serves up.
| Metric | Station recorded |
|---|
| Rainfall total |
122.2mm |
| Wet days (1mm or more) |
7 |
| Average daily max |
32.3°C |
| Average daily min |
15.1°C |
| Hottest day |
40.9°C |
| Coldest night |
8.1°C |
| Frost nights (min 2°C or below) |
0 |
Dayboro station daily summaries over 31 days, rainfall as the calendar month total. These numbers are local to Dayboro, the zone table above covers the wider growing zones.
Astronomical Events
Orionids Meteor Shower, October 21:
The Orionids produce about 20 meteors per hour at their peak, originating from debris left by Halley's Comet (same as the Eta Aquariids in May). Best viewing is after midnight. The First Quarter Moon sets by midnight, leaving good dark sky conditions in the early morning hours.
Moon Phases
🌓
First Quarter
Oct 19
Full October 2026 Almanac for Members
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