Every time a new person joins the local Facebook page where I post stuff, they believe they are the first ones and the only ones to stand up and ensure members know our forecast is impossible to be correct or even close. Mainly because Wikipedia says it, despite that for thousands of years, weather forecasts have been done this way.
Lost civilisations used it, and the current civilisation has been trying to use it.
On the right is one of the more polite messages.
Lets dive in!
The Inigo Jones forecast method is a detailed long-range weather prediction technique developed by the Australian meteorologist Inigo Jones, which integrates astronomical phenomena, particularly sunspot cycles and planetary alignments involving Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune, with historical and local climatic data.
By accurately calculating planetary and lunar positions, assessing past severe weather events, and considering Dayboro’s geographic and climatic influences, this method aims to detect patterns and correlations that forecast future weather conditions over extended periods, making it an insightful tool for understanding and anticipating long-term climate trends.
What we do.
One month prior, we created an Inigo Jones-inspired forecast; we published it, and the details are only available to our members. After the month has come and gone, we open the forecast to the wider public, eg non, non-members, so they can see what was forecasted and what actually was the recorded values.
We compare the predicted versus actual for:
- MinTemp, this is the minimum temperature.
- MaxTemp, this is the maximum temperature.
- POP, is the percentage of precipitation, we compare that against actual rainfall.