The week ahead at a glance
Good morning Dayboro. We woke to 10.7°C and we’re sitting at 13.5°C right now, so it’s a proper winter start. The headline this week is short and simple. Two clear, cool days bookend one wet day. Monday and Wednesday look sunny, but Tuesday is the one to watch with rain likely and a much milder night behind it.
If you’ve got jobs that need dry ground, do them today or Wednesday. Tuesday will most likely keep you indoors for part of the day.
Day-by-day outlook
| Day | Date | Min | Max | Rain Chance | Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 15 Jun | 11°C | 23°C | 5% | Sunny, partly cloudy |
| Tuesday | 16 Jun | 16°C | 24°C | 74% | Rain likely, cloudy morning |
| Wednesday | 17 Jun | 13°C | 24°C | 7% | Sunny, cloudy start clearing |
Notice Tuesday night stays at 16°C while the clear nights drop to 11°C and 13°C. That’s cloud cover doing its job. Clear skies let the heat escape, cloud traps it. Same reason a frosty morning almost always follows a clear, still night out here.
How last week’s forecasts held up
Honesty first. Our Dayboro Model composite score came back as not available for the last 30 days, so I won’t pretend I have a number I don’t. BOM’s composite over the same window sat at 65.5%, and on temperature alone BOM ran at 95.3%. That temperature figure is strong and worth saying plainly. When it comes to picking the daily highs and lows in winter, the models are doing well. Rain timing is always the harder part, and that’s where the composite scores take their hits. I’ll have our own composite back in the review once the data fills in properly.
The bigger picture across SE Queensland
Zoom out and the whole southeast is in a cool, mostly dry winter pattern this week. Brisbane, the Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast are looking at an average max near 21.7°C with rain chances around 23% and only a few millimetres expected. We’re a touch cooler here in the D’Aguilar foothills, averaging about 21.3°C max and 13.0°C min, with a slightly higher rain chance near 29% thanks to that Tuesday system nudging through.
Further north it’s a different world. The Wet Tropics around Cairns are sitting at 65% rain probability for the week, so the moisture is staying up that way. Down here the trough passing on Tuesday is the only real wet feature, and it clears quickly. After that, high pressure settles back in and gives us those clear, cold nights again.
Garden and outdoor tip
With Tuesday’s rain and the milder, humid night that comes with it, watch for snails and slugs. They love damp, mild conditions and they’ll be active straight after that rain. Late blight and downy mildew are also on the high-risk list right now, both pushed along by leaf moisture. So here’s the tip. Hold off on overhead watering this week, especially Monday evening into Tuesday. Let the rain do the work, then keep your tomato and brassica leaves as dry as you can once it clears on Wednesday. Pick off any snail-chewed seedlings early before they get going.
For the keen ones, set a beer trap or scatter some snail bait Tuesday afternoon before the night warms up. That’s when they’ll be on the move.
Stay in the loop
Want the full week sent straight to your inbox each Monday? Subscribe to the Dayboro weather emails here and never miss what’s coming.
The 4-day extended forecast is for members only
Members get the full 7-day outlook, rain probability detail, Inigo Jones long-range commentary, and an ad-free experience.
Get Dayboro weather delivered to your inbox every morning — forecasts, garden tips, and local updates. Subscribe free →
