As we approach Week 45 of 2024, the weather in Dayboro, QLD, is set to bring a mix of early summer heat, thunderstorms, and some much-needed rain to this beautiful part of Queensland. In the Moreton Bay Region, Dayboro is known for its subtropical climate, which means warm temperatures and increasing humidity as we move into November.
With that in mind, let’s take a closer look at the Dayboro Weather Week 45, 2024 forecast, which covers the period from Monday, November 4th to Sunday, November 10th. Whether you’re planning outdoor activities, working the land, or just looking to enjoy the early summer vibes, here’s everything you need to know to stay ahead of the weather.
Monday, November 4th
A Cloudy Start
The week kicks off with a cloudy day. Early morning fog will clear by mid-morning, leading into light showers during the afternoon. While the temperatures will be fairly mild, reaching a high of 26°C and a low of 17°C, the humidity will remain relatively high at around 85%. If you’re commuting or spending time outdoors, pack a light rain jacket, as there’s a chance of 5-10 mm of rain later in the day.
- Conditions: Cloudy with light to moderate showers in the afternoon. Early morning fog, clearing by mid-morning.
- Max Temperature: 26°C
- Min Temperature: 17°C
- Humidity: 85% (morning), dropping to 70% (afternoon)
- Winds: Light winds from the southeast at 10-15 km/h
- Rainfall: 5-10 mm
- Pressure: Stable at around 1014 hPa
Tuesday, November 5th
Thunderstorms Ahead
Tuesday brings more dramatic weather, with thunderstorms expected in the afternoon and evening. Daytime temperatures will rise to 27°C, while overnight lows will hover around 18°C. Humidity will peak during the thunderstorms, reaching as high as 95%. You might want to take extra precautions if you’re traveling or working outside, as the forecast predicts 15-25 mm of rain, and strong winds gusting up to 30 km/h. Keep an eye on local warnings, as these storms could bring short, intense downpours.
- Conditions: Overcast with scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. Potential for heavy rainfall in short bursts.
- Max Temperature: 27°C
- Min Temperature: 18°C
- Humidity: 88% (morning), rising to 95% with thunderstorms
- Winds: Moderate winds from the northeast at 20 km/h, gusts up to 30 km/h during thunderstorms
- Rainfall: 15-25 mm
- Pressure: Slight drop to 1012 hPa, with thunderstorms
Wednesday, November 6th
Some Sunshine
By midweek, the stormy weather will give way to partly cloudy skies with some sunny breaks during the day. It’ll be a comfortable 25°C, with cooler evening temperatures around 16°C. Humidity will drop to around 65% by midday, making it one of the drier days of the week. However, there could still be a few light showers in the late afternoon, with a predicted rainfall of 2-5 mm.
- Conditions: Partly cloudy with some sunny breaks during midday. Mild weather with occasional light showers in the late afternoon.
- Max Temperature: 25°C
- Min Temperature: 16°C
- Humidity: 80% (morning), decreasing to 65% by midday
- Winds: Light southeast winds at 10-15 km/h
- Rainfall: 2-5 mm
- Pressure: Gradual rise to 1016 hPa by evening
Thursday, November 7th
A Warm, Sunny Day
Thursday is shaping up to be a perfect spring day in Dayboro. Mostly sunny skies and warmer temperatures, with highs of 28°C, make it an excellent day for outdoor activities. The day will be dry, with only light breezes from the west. Humidity will be much lower, around 45% in the afternoon, so it’s a great day to get outside and enjoy the weather without worrying about rain.
- Conditions: Mostly sunny with clear skies in the morning, increasing cloud cover in the afternoon. Warm and dry.
- Max Temperature: 28°C
- Min Temperature: 18°C
- Humidity: 65% (morning), dropping to 45% in the afternoon
- Winds: Light westerly winds at 5-10 km/h
- Rainfall: 0 mm
- Pressure: Stable at 1018 hPa
Friday, November 8th
Heat Builds
As we move towards the weekend, Friday brings a notable rise in temperature, reaching a hot 31°C. The dry conditions will continue, but there’s a possibility of dry thunderstorms in the evening. These storms may not bring much rain but could create strong gusts of wind and some lightning. It’s important to be cautious during dry thunderstorms, especially in areas prone to bushfires.
- Conditions: Hot and sunny with light winds. Potential for dry thunderstorms in the late evening.
- Max Temperature: 31°C
- Min Temperature: 20°C
- Humidity: 50% (morning), dropping to 35% in the afternoon
- Winds: Light westerly winds at 10-20 km/h, gusting to 25 km/h during dry thunderstorm activity
- Rainfall: 0 mm
- Pressure: Slight drop to 1014 hPa with thunderstorm development
Saturday, November 9th
Thunderstorms Return
On Saturday, the weather takes another turn as hot and humid conditions set the stage for afternoon thunderstorms. Temperatures will peak at 32°C, with overnight lows of 22°C. This could be the stormiest day of the week, with potentially severe thunderstorms that bring heavy rainfall (20-40 mm) and localized flooding in low-lying areas. If you have plans for the weekend, consider indoor alternatives for the afternoon when the storms are most likely to hit.
- Conditions: Hot and humid. Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon, potentially severe with localized flooding.
- Max Temperature: 32°C
- Min Temperature: 22°C
- Humidity: 90% (morning), remaining high throughout the day
- Winds: Moderate winds from the northeast at 15-25 km/h, with gusts during storms
- Rainfall: 20-40 mm (with heavy thunderstorms)
- Pressure: Drops to 1010 hPa with storm activity
Sunday, November 10th
A Cooler End to the Week
The week wraps up with cooler, more stable weather. Sunday will start with overcast skies and periods of rain in the morning, but conditions will clear by the afternoon. The high will drop to 24°C, and the low will be around 16°C, with southeast winds making it feel breezy throughout the day. With a predicted 10-15 mm of rainfall in the morning, it will be a refreshing end to an otherwise warm and stormy week.
- Conditions: Overcast with periods of rain in the morning, clearing by afternoon. Cooler temperatures and breezy.
- Max Temperature: 24°C
- Min Temperature: 16°C
- Humidity: 85% (morning), dropping to 60% by evening
- Winds: Southeast winds at 20-30 km/h
- Rainfall: 10-15 mm
- Pressure: Rising to 1016 hPa by evening
What Does This Mean for You?
Dayboro Weather Week 45, 2024, is a classic example of early summer in Queensland: warm days, humid conditions, and the onset of thunderstorms. If you’re planning outdoor activities like hiking, gardening, or attending local events, pay attention to the midweek break in storms, particularly Thursday, when the weather will be mostly sunny and pleasant.
However, for those concerned about potential thunderstorms, especially on Saturday, it’s advisable to stay updated with local weather alerts for any possible warnings about severe weather or flash flooding.
Critical Takeaways for Week 45, 2024:
- Hot and humid conditions, especially later in the week.
- Thunderstorms are expected on Tuesday, Saturday, and possibly Friday evening.
- Heavy rain and potential localized flooding on Saturday.
- Cooler and more stable weather will return by Sunday.
Edit Monday 04-11-2024 noon
So the above image is from the automatically generated forecast, using my local data and surrounding weather stations, GSM, etc. It tells a different story because it is generated every 4hrs or so, and using more detailed data sets is more accurate than using the Inigo Jones method.
The tempertures in the Inigo Jones forecast are way off, which is not good enough so we will fix the method. I still think there is a good chance the rest has merrit. In particular the thunderstorms.